Le dernier sondage Léger montre un PQ plus élevé que les précédents sondages. Le parti de Pauline Marois est certes deuxième, 4 points derrière le PLQ de Philippe Couillard, mais grâce à son avantage chez les francophones, ce parti aurait presque 50% de chances de remporter le plus de sièges. Le dernier sondage Léger montre un PQ plus élevé que les précédents sondages.

Le parti de Pauline Marois est certes deuxième, 4 points derrière le PLQ de Philippe Couillard, mais grâce à son avantage chez les francophones, ce parti aurait presque 50% de chances de remporter le plus de sièges. Le dernier sondage Léger montre un PQ plus élevé que les précédents sondages. Le parti de Pauline Marois est certes deuxième, 4 points derrière le PLQ de Philippe Couillard, mais grâce à son avantage chez les francophones, ce parti aurait presque 50% de chances de remporter le plus de sièges.

the usual blablabla

Top to bottom: votes projections (adjusted polls average), seat projections, seats range at 95% and chances of winning.

Test to see how a typical projection post would look like.

The latest (not recent, sorry I'm a little bit late on that one) poll from Abacus shows the three main federal parties very close to each other. However, once we take into account the distribution of the vote, the Liberals of Justin Trudeau would be the clear favorite to win the election.

Please note that Abacus doesn't allocate the undecided anymore. They made this choice after the last BC election. While it's nice, I don't have an "undecided" category in my seat projections model. Therefore, I allocated the undecided proportionally. During the next election, I'll spend a lot of time looking and studying these undecided voters. But for now, it'll do.

Wow, another great post here!

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All of this is very inetresting.

 I'm typing this just to make the post longer. Not sure what I can say anymore.

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